How The Numbers Stack Up To Fo...

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How The Numbers Stack Up To Form The Next Government

Newsroom
Newsroom

12:52 PM - 11 Feb 2020



Mary Lou McDonald has reached out to other parties on the left to talk about forming a government.

She's talked with Brendan Howlin, Eamon Ryan and the Social Democrats as we now know the full makeup of the Dáil.

Our Political Correspondent Seán Defoe has been crunching the numbers on possible governments:

The big news looking at the maths is that no two parties combined can reach that number.

At least three parties will be needed to form a government.

So any combination of Sinn Féin, Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin could mathematically make up the numbers if they added the Green Party's 12 seats.

Mary Lou McDonald's coalition of the left looks unlikely.

Adding together Sinn Féin, the Greens, Labour, the Social Democrats and Solidarity People Before Profit only gives you 66 seats.

Adding the 6 left-leaning independents gets you to 72.

If you added the so-called pragmatic independents who might do a deal, you could get to 78 seats, just shy of a majority.

That combination would then need at least two rural or right wing independents to come on board, and would be relying on 14 Independent votes to pass anything.

It could take a long time for any combination of the current numbers to come together and form a government.



Read more about

Coalition Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Seán Defoe Sinn Fein

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