We break down the permutations for the Irish provinces ahead of the final day in the PRO12

Connacht (v Glasgow Warriors): Possible finish 1^st to 4^th

Win with a Bonus Point:

• Finish 1^st in table

Win without a BP:

• Finish 1^st if Leinster fail to beat Treviso with a BP.
• Finish 2^nd if Leinster win with a BP.

Draw with a try-scoring BP:

• Finish 2^nd if Leinster draw or lose to Treviso.
• Finish 3^rd if Leinster beat Treviso.

Draw without a BP:

• Finish 3^rd if Leinster beat Treviso, or draw with a try-scoring BP.
• Finish 2^nd if Leinster lose, or draw without scoring four tries.

Lose with two BPs:

• Finish 3^rd if Leinster beat Treviso, or draw with a try-scoring BP.
• Finish 2^nd if Leinster lose, or draw without scoring four tries.

Lose with one BP:

• Finish 2^nd if Leinster lose to Treviso
• Finish 3^rd if Leinster draw or win against Treviso.

Lose without a BP:

• Finish 4^th if Leinster win, draw, or lose with a bonus point against Treviso, AND if Ulster beat the Ospreys with a bonus point.
• Finish 3^rd if Leinster win, draw or lose with a bonus point against Treviso, AND if Ulster fail to get a winning bonus point v the Ospreys.
• Finish 2^nd if Leinster lose by more than 7 points against Treviso, AND Ulster fail to get winning bonus point v Ospreys.

Leinster (v Treviso): Possible finish 1^st to 5^th

Win with a BP:

• Finish 1^st if Connacht and Glasgow draw with no bonus points, OR if Connacht win without a bonus point.
• Finish 2^nd if Glasgow win, if Connacht win with a BP, or if they draw and Glasgow score four tries.

Win without a BP:

• Finish 3^rd if Glasgow lose to Connacht, but secure two bonus points.
• Finish 2^nd in any other scenario.

Draw with a BP:

• Finish 2^nd if Glasgow beat Connacht, OR if Glasgow lose without a bonus point, OR if they draw without any bonus points.
• Finish 3^rd if Glasgow get a losing bonus point against Connacht, OR if they draw and Connacht score four tries.

Draw without a BP:

• Finish 2^nd if Connacht lose to Glasgow AND score less then four tries.
• Finish 3^rd if Connacht get two losing points, a draw or a win against Glasgow.

Lose with two BPs:

• Finish 2^nd if Connacht lose to Glasgow AND score less then four tries.
• Finish 3^rd if Connacht get two losing points against Glasgow, or better.

Lose with one BP:

• Finish 2^nd if Connacht lose to Glasgow without picking up a BP.
• Finish 3^rd in all other scenarios.

Lose without a BP:

• Finish 3^rd if Ulster fail to beat Ospreys with a BP.
• Finish 4^th if Ulster beat Ospreys AND score four tries, or if Scarlets beat Munster and there is an unlikely 102 point swing
• Finish 5^th if Ulster beat Ospreys with a BP, AND if the Scarlets beat Munster and there is an unlikely 102 point swing.

Ulster (v Ospreys): Possible finish 2^nd to 5^th

Win with a BP:

• Finish 2^nd if BOTH Connacht and Leinster lose without getting bonus points.
• Finish 3^rd if BOTH Connacht and Leinster lose with ONE of them getting a losing bonus point.
• Finish 4^th if BOTH get a losing bonus point or better.

Win without a BP:

• Finish 4^th if the Scarlets fail to get a winning bonus point v Munster
• Finish 5^th if the Scarlets beat Munster with a bonus point.

Draw with a BP:

• Finish 4^th if the Scarlets draw or lose v Munster
• Finish 5^th if the Scarlets beat Munster.

Draw without a BP:

• Finish 4^th if the Scarlets lose v Munster or draw without picking up a bonus point.
• Finish 5^th if the Scarlets beat Munster, or draw with a bonus point.

Lose with two BPs:

• Finish 4^th if the Scarlets lose v Munster, or draw without picking up a bonus point.
• Finish 5^th if the Scarlets beat Munster, or draw with a bonus point.

Lose with one BP:

• Finish 4^th if Scarlets lose to Munster, with one bonus point or less.
• Finish 5^th if Scarlets get a win, a draw or lose with two bonus points v Munster.

Lose without a BP:

• Finish 4^th if Scarlets lose to Munster without a BP.
• Finish 5^th if Scarlets pick up one or more points v Munster

Munster (v Scarlets): Possible finish 6^th-8^th

Any win or draw:

• Finish 6^th, regardless of other results.

Lose with two BPs:

• Finish 6^th, regardless of other results.

Lose with one BP:

• Finish 6^th, if Ospreys fail to beat Ulster with a bonus point.
• Finish 7^th if Ospreys beat Ulster and get a bonus point.

Lose without a BP:

• Finish 6^th if Ospreys draw or lose v Ulster, AND Edinburgh fail to beat Cardiff with a bonus point.
• Finish 7^th if Ospreys beat Ulster, AND Edinburgh fail to beat Cardiff with a bonus point.
• Finish 7^th if Ospreys draw or lose v Ulster AND Edinburgh beat Cardiff with a bonus point.
• Finish 8^th if Ospreys beat Ulster AND Edinburgh beat Cardiff with a bonus point.